Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Newtechwood Corp (301588.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.77 - $77.19$72.34
Multi-Stage$10.60 - $11.59$11.09
Blended Fair Value$41.71
Current Price$20.62
Upside102.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS32.92%0.00%0.350.150.090.050.080.080.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--132.64%61.91%89.71%-35.68%-9.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%0.53%0.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.095.683.41
Cash Retained (M)14.7614.7614.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.09-5.68-3.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.679.0811.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.11117.11117.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.77$72.34$77.19
Upside / Downside20.13%250.81%274.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.4548.4151.5654.9158.4862.2864.15
Payout Ratio67.53%72.02%76.52%81.01%85.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.6934.8739.4544.4850.0056.0559.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32.3332.6432.95
Year 2 PV (M)33.9234.5735.22
Year 3 PV (M)35.4736.4937.53
Year 4 PV (M)36.9838.4039.86
Year 5 PV (M)38.4440.3042.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,064.571,115.991,169.37
Equity Value (M)1,241.711,298.381,357.16
Shares Outstanding (M)117.11117.11117.11
Fair Value$10.60$11.09$11.59
Upside / Downside-48.58%-46.23%-43.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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