Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing), Inc. (300725.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$170.00 - $200.29$187.70
Multi-Stage$54.35 - $59.58$56.92
Blended Fair Value$122.31
Current Price$41.42
Upside195.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.80%27.53%0.390.210.170.110.110.110.070.000.000.05
YoY Growth--87.02%23.83%50.43%3.06%-1.28%50.00%23,945.44%-87.99%-94.93%46.07%
Dividend Yield--1.11%0.53%0.24%0.12%0.09%0.20%0.12%0.00%0.04%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)201.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)131.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.2325.1415.09
Cash Retained (M)131.11131.11131.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.23-25.14-15.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.89105.97116.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)199.72199.72199.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.530.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.530.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.880.93
WACC / Discount Rate4.94%4.94%4.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$170.00$187.70$200.29
Upside / Downside310.43%353.16%383.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)201.14214.21228.14242.97258.76275.58283.85
Payout Ratio34.81%45.85%56.89%67.93%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.0398.22129.78165.04204.32248.02262.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.94%4.94%4.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)92.7293.6094.48
Year 2 PV (M)115.66117.86120.08
Year 3 PV (M)138.83142.82146.88
Year 4 PV (M)162.26168.50174.92
Year 5 PV (M)185.93194.91204.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,158.8910,649.5711,159.02
Equity Value (M)10,854.2911,367.2511,899.61
Shares Outstanding (M)199.72199.72199.72
Fair Value$54.35$56.92$59.58
Upside / Downside31.21%37.41%43.85%

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