Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics Co.,Ltd. (300623.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.71 - $116.95$105.96
Multi-Stage$14.83 - $16.23$15.52
Blended Fair Value$60.74
Current Price$32.00
Upside89.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.74%9.88%0.110.080.110.100.070.070.060.030.040.04
YoY Growth--28.38%-24.63%14.41%32.89%13.23%13.99%68.45%-19.77%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.55%0.48%0.39%0.29%0.50%0.55%0.34%0.31%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)487.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)342.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.4760.9236.55
Cash Retained (M)342.83342.83342.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.47-60.92-36.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)245.36281.91306.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)828.70828.70828.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.340.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.340.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.71$105.96$116.95
Upside / Downside2.23%231.11%265.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)487.33519.01552.74588.67626.94667.69687.72
Payout Ratio29.65%41.72%53.79%65.86%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.50216.54297.33387.70488.57600.92636.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)200.44202.34204.24
Year 2 PV (M)254.76259.61264.51
Year 3 PV (M)307.50316.33325.32
Year 4 PV (M)358.70372.49386.68
Year 5 PV (M)408.38428.10448.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,761.5111,281.3011,820.98
Equity Value (M)12,291.2912,860.1713,450.31
Shares Outstanding (M)828.70828.70828.70
Fair Value$14.83$15.52$16.23
Upside / Downside-53.65%-51.50%-49.28%

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