Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co., Ltd. (300617.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.20 - $147.51$138.24
Multi-Stage$85.00 - $93.28$89.06
Blended Fair Value$113.65
Current Price$36.74
Upside209.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.41%4.77%0.230.060.590.430.300.300.200.080.010.00
YoY Growth--291.54%-90.23%37.27%44.30%0.00%46.69%150.00%1,472.33%32.51%-97.25%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.21%1.66%0.96%0.75%1.04%0.98%0.32%0.01%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.2415.159.09
Cash Retained (M)73.5973.5973.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.24-15.15-9.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3558.4464.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)163.39163.39163.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.360.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.360.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.20$138.24$147.51
Upside / Downside240.78%276.26%301.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121.19129.06137.45146.39155.90166.04171.02
Payout Ratio39.28%49.42%59.57%69.71%79.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.6063.7881.87102.05124.50149.43158.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)61.7262.3162.89
Year 2 PV (M)76.6778.1379.60
Year 3 PV (M)92.4795.1297.82
Year 4 PV (M)109.16113.36117.67
Year 5 PV (M)126.79132.91139.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,421.8214,070.1014,743.19
Equity Value (M)13,888.6214,551.9215,240.45
Shares Outstanding (M)163.39163.39163.39
Fair Value$85.00$89.06$93.28
Upside / Downside131.37%142.42%153.89%

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