Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fujian Boss Software Corp. (300525.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.16 - $26.80$14.42
Multi-Stage$6.18 - $6.75$6.46
Blended Fair Value$10.44
Current Price$13.83
Upside-24.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.86%0.00%0.200.080.060.050.040.060.020.000.020.00
YoY Growth--135.60%47.30%6.36%25.79%-29.25%201.44%470,697.39%-99.98%20,066.43%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.17%0.63%0.29%0.47%0.45%0.61%0.27%0.00%0.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.9734.3620.61
Cash Retained (M)180.10180.10180.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.97-34.36-20.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.13145.75159.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)755.90755.90755.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.16$14.42$26.80
Upside / Downside-33.74%4.30%93.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274.85292.72311.74332.01353.59376.57387.87
Payout Ratio34.47%45.58%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.75133.41176.70225.06278.96338.91358.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.42122.57123.72
Year 2 PV (M)146.35149.14151.96
Year 3 PV (M)169.64174.51179.48
Year 4 PV (M)191.36198.72206.29
Year 5 PV (M)211.58221.80232.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,829.334,014.294,206.33
Equity Value (M)4,669.694,881.035,100.18
Shares Outstanding (M)755.90755.90755.90
Fair Value$6.18$6.46$6.75
Upside / Downside-55.33%-53.31%-51.21%

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