Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Top Resource Energy Co., Ltd. Class A (300332.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.44 - $20.55$19.26
Multi-Stage$12.00 - $13.17$12.58
Blended Fair Value$15.92
Current Price$5.77
Upside175.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.63%7.88%0.110.130.090.060.100.170.200.110.120.09
YoY Growth---16.53%40.17%63.82%-46.46%-37.94%-14.65%73.48%-3.27%29.03%81.49%
Dividend Yield--2.18%1.93%0.78%0.62%1.98%4.40%3.36%1.92%1.14%0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.7911.126.67
Cash Retained (M)61.6361.6361.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.79-11.12-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.8450.5154.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)861.00861.00861.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.090.10
WACC / Discount Rate2.06%2.06%2.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.44$19.26$20.55
Upside / Downside202.26%233.73%256.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.9694.74100.90107.46114.44121.88125.54
Payout Ratio30.72%42.58%54.43%66.29%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.3340.3454.9271.2389.43109.69116.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.06%2.06%2.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.1539.5239.90
Year 2 PV (M)51.7452.7353.72
Year 3 PV (M)65.1467.0168.91
Year 4 PV (M)79.3882.4385.57
Year 5 PV (M)94.5099.07103.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,004.1110,487.3110,989.00
Equity Value (M)10,334.0210,828.0711,340.91
Shares Outstanding (M)861.00861.00861.00
Fair Value$12.00$12.58$13.17
Upside / Downside108.01%117.96%128.28%

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