Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Funeng Oriental Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. (300173.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.92 - $15.22$14.27
Multi-Stage$8.66 - $9.51$9.08
Blended Fair Value$11.67
Current Price$6.02
Upside93.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.17%15.49%0.050.050.050.050.040.030.060.050.040.01
YoY Growth---9.42%-1.91%19.51%22.30%30.73%-49.06%12.54%15.39%329.69%-12.55%
Dividend Yield--0.82%1.19%1.19%0.89%0.74%0.51%0.95%0.63%0.28%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.317.074.24
Cash Retained (M)33.7733.7733.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.31-7.07-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.4626.7029.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)738.36738.36738.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate2.63%2.63%2.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.92$14.27$15.22
Upside / Downside114.66%137.01%152.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.5360.2064.1168.2872.7277.4479.77
Payout Ratio40.26%50.21%60.16%70.10%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.7630.2338.5747.8758.2169.7073.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.63%2.63%2.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.1729.4529.73
Year 2 PV (M)35.9336.6137.30
Year 3 PV (M)43.0444.2845.53
Year 4 PV (M)50.5252.4654.46
Year 5 PV (M)58.3861.2064.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,180.586,479.116,789.06
Equity Value (M)6,397.636,703.117,020.21
Shares Outstanding (M)738.36738.36738.36
Fair Value$8.66$9.08$9.51
Upside / Downside43.93%50.80%57.94%

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