Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chengdu CORPRO Technology Co., Ltd. (300101.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.65 - $7.42$4.12
Multi-Stage$1.90 - $2.07$1.98
Blended Fair Value$3.05
Current Price$24.62
Upside-87.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.12%26.07%0.020.020.060.020.010.030.010.000.050.02
YoY Growth---4.39%-72.20%283.04%21.54%-57.64%141.33%177.12%-90.97%107.46%1,445.27%
Dividend Yield--0.09%0.10%0.21%0.10%0.08%0.33%0.10%0.03%0.28%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.377.734.64
Cash Retained (M)14.4314.4314.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.37-7.73-4.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.066.709.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)569.30569.30569.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.65$4.12$7.42
Upside / Downside-89.23%-83.26%-69.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.8465.8670.1474.7079.5584.7287.27
Payout Ratio76.66%79.33%82.00%84.67%87.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.4152.2557.5163.2469.4876.2580.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.5047.9548.40
Year 2 PV (M)47.5448.4549.36
Year 3 PV (M)47.5348.8950.28
Year 4 PV (M)47.4749.3051.18
Year 5 PV (M)47.3749.6652.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)841.87882.53924.75
Equity Value (M)1,079.281,126.781,176.01
Shares Outstanding (M)569.30569.30569.30
Fair Value$1.90$1.98$2.07
Upside / Downside-92.30%-91.96%-91.61%

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