Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Far Eastern International Bank Ltd. (2845.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.16 - $172.16$74.84
Multi-Stage$21.73 - $23.76$22.73
Blended Fair Value$48.78
Current Price$12.11
Upside302.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.96%11.69%0.470.380.350.260.360.340.320.300.280.26
YoY Growth--23.75%10.13%34.42%-28.43%6.76%5.28%6.93%7.70%5.99%67.90%
Dividend Yield--3.77%2.98%3.51%2.47%4.01%4.10%3.59%3.94%3.84%3.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,777.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,059.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,718.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)755.58472.23283.34
Cash Retained (M)1,718.721,718.721,718.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-755.58-472.23-283.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)963.141,246.481,435.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,341.994,341.994,341.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.290.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.290.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Fair Value$35.16$74.84$172.16
Upside / Downside190.33%517.96%1,321.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,777.884,002.914,241.354,493.994,761.675,045.315,196.67
Payout Ratio54.51%61.60%68.70%75.80%82.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,059.162,465.982,913.953,406.543,947.484,540.784,806.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Year 1 PV (M)2,282.162,303.912,325.65
Year 2 PV (M)2,495.732,543.522,591.75
Year 3 PV (M)2,700.152,778.072,857.47
Year 4 PV (M)2,895.693,007.633,122.79
Year 5 PV (M)3,082.623,232.303,387.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,884.5484,811.9188,890.37
Equity Value (M)94,340.9098,677.33103,175.77
Shares Outstanding (M)4,341.994,341.994,341.99
Fair Value$21.73$22.73$23.76
Upside / Downside79.42%87.67%96.22%

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