Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Taiwan Taxi Co.,Ltd. (2640.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$849.06 - $1,794.65$1,681.85
Multi-Stage$279.99 - $306.08$292.80
Blended Fair Value$987.32
Current Price$129.00
Upside665.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS16.05%0.00%6.005.003.503.713.362.850.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.01%42.86%-5.77%10.68%17.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.56%4.25%3.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)534.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)414.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.9866.8640.12
Cash Retained (M)120.04120.04120.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.98-66.86-40.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.0653.1879.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.2759.2759.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.901.35
LTM Dividend per Share7.007.007.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.901.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.227.908.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$849.06$1,681.85$1,794.65
Upside / Downside558.19%1,203.76%1,291.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)534.89569.66606.69646.13688.12732.85754.84
Payout Ratio77.56%80.05%82.54%85.02%87.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)414.86456.00500.73549.36602.19659.57698.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)424.56428.58432.60
Year 2 PV (M)434.06442.33450.68
Year 3 PV (M)443.38456.11469.08
Year 4 PV (M)452.51469.91487.81
Year 5 PV (M)461.45483.74506.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,380.1415,074.7115,795.86
Equity Value (M)16,596.0917,355.3718,142.90
Shares Outstanding (M)59.2759.2759.27
Fair Value$279.99$292.80$306.08
Upside / Downside117.04%126.97%137.27%

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