Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jean Co.,Ltd (2442.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.12 - $5.65$4.89
Multi-Stage$14.86 - $16.50$15.66
Blended Fair Value$10.28
Current Price$23.97
Upside-57.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-25.30%12.48%0.100.050.180.090.040.450.000.010.030.02
YoY Growth--122.57%-74.11%103.81%111.54%-90.64%0.00%-100.00%-77.60%62.80%-36.74%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.18%1.22%0.71%0.44%7.17%0.00%0.10%0.50%0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)220.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)192.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.0727.5416.53
Cash Retained (M)192.17192.17192.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.07-27.54-16.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)148.10164.62175.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.13272.13272.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate5.77%5.77%5.77%
Growth Rate-8.61%-7.61%-6.61%
Fair Value$4.12$4.89$5.65
Upside / Downside-82.83%-79.59%-76.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)220.36203.59188.09173.77160.54148.32152.77
Payout Ratio12.79%28.23%43.68%59.12%74.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.1957.4882.15102.73119.70133.49141.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.77%5.77%5.77%
Growth Rate-8.61%-7.61%-6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)53.7654.3554.93
Year 2 PV (M)71.8573.4375.03
Year 3 PV (M)84.0386.8189.66
Year 4 PV (M)91.5695.6499.84
Year 5 PV (M)95.50100.84106.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,647.663,851.644,064.65
Equity Value (M)4,044.344,262.704,490.53
Shares Outstanding (M)272.13272.13272.13
Fair Value$14.86$15.66$16.50
Upside / Downside-38.00%-34.65%-31.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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