Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OUTSOURCING Inc. (2427.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$454.07 - $707.33$570.91
Multi-Stage$404.28 - $438.77$421.22
Blended Fair Value$496.07
Current Price$1,740.00
Upside-71.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS10.20%32.57%24.9930.999.9923.9620.9215.385.824.843.181.85
YoY Growth---19.36%210.09%-58.30%14.53%36.09%164.26%20.16%52.09%72.16%24.10%
Dividend Yield--1.44%2.39%0.79%1.34%4.45%1.11%0.31%0.55%0.41%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,563.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,148.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,415.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,112.60695.38417.23
Cash Retained (M)2,415.002,415.002,415.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,112.60-695.38-417.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,302.401,719.631,997.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)125.98125.98125.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.3413.6515.86
LTM Dividend per Share24.9924.9924.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.3413.6515.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.3338.6440.85
WACC / Discount Rate13.71%13.71%13.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$454.07$570.91$707.33
Upside / Downside-73.90%-67.19%-59.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,563.005,924.606,309.696,719.827,156.617,621.797,850.45
Payout Ratio56.59%63.27%69.95%76.64%83.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,148.003,748.524,413.815,149.765,962.726,859.617,261.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.71%13.71%13.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,265.673,296.623,327.58
Year 2 PV (M)3,349.953,413.763,478.17
Year 3 PV (M)3,405.053,502.793,602.39
Year 4 PV (M)3,434.733,566.823,702.69
Year 5 PV (M)3,442.393,608.663,781.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,032.3835,676.1637,382.85
Equity Value (M)50,930.1853,064.8355,274.97
Shares Outstanding (M)125.98125.98125.98
Fair Value$404.28$421.22$438.77
Upside / Downside-76.77%-75.79%-74.78%

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