Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group Co., Ltd. (2270.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.17 - $1.80$1.46
Multi-Stage$2.57 - $2.83$2.70
Blended Fair Value$2.08
Current Price$1.42
Upside46.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.050.000.000.000.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.019.385.63
Cash Retained (M)43.8543.8543.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.01-9.38-5.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.8434.4738.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)582.93582.93582.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.17$1.46$1.80
Upside / Downside-17.55%3.06%26.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.0674.3173.5672.8372.1071.3873.52
Payout Ratio41.57%51.26%60.94%70.63%80.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.2038.0944.8351.4457.9164.2468.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35.3635.7236.08
Year 2 PV (M)38.6439.4440.24
Year 3 PV (M)41.1642.4443.74
Year 4 PV (M)43.0244.8146.65
Year 5 PV (M)44.3146.6249.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,295.211,362.661,432.88
Equity Value (M)1,497.721,571.681,648.61
Shares Outstanding (M)582.93582.93582.93
Fair Value$2.57$2.70$2.83
Upside / Downside80.94%89.87%99.16%

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