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Definitive Analysis

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MEISEI INDUSTRIAL Co.,Ltd. (1976.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28,025.34 - $33,018.60$30,943.26
Multi-Stage$21,528.82 - $23,631.69$22,560.61
Blended Fair Value$26,751.94
Current Price$1,500.00
Upside1,683.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.14%20.03%62.9539.5033.2632.0632.0432.4930.2117.1911.939.94
YoY Growth--59.37%18.75%3.76%0.06%-1.41%7.57%75.70%44.08%20.08%-2.05%
Dividend Yield--4.20%2.96%3.38%4.55%4.38%4.07%4.12%2.13%1.75%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,986.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,001.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,985.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,597.20998.25598.95
Cash Retained (M)6,985.006,985.006,985.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,597.20-998.25-598.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,387.805,986.756,386.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.1048.1048.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share112.01124.46132.76
LTM Dividend per Share20.8120.8120.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share112.01124.46132.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend132.82145.27153.57
WACC / Discount Rate-0.25%-0.25%-0.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28,025.34$30,943.26$33,018.60
Upside / Downside1,768.36%1,962.88%2,101.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,986.008,505.099,057.929,646.6910,273.7210,941.5111,269.76
Payout Ratio12.53%28.03%43.52%59.01%74.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,001.002,383.773,942.075,692.877,654.639,847.3610,424.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.25%-0.25%-0.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,367.222,389.662,412.10
Year 2 PV (M)3,887.523,961.574,036.31
Year 3 PV (M)5,575.135,735.175,898.25
Year 4 PV (M)7,444.277,730.558,025.02
Year 5 PV (M)9,510.259,969.6010,446.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,006,765.801,055,392.961,105,881.20
Equity Value (M)1,035,550.181,085,179.511,136,699.40
Shares Outstanding (M)48.1048.1048.10
Fair Value$21,528.82$22,560.61$23,631.69
Upside / Downside1,335.25%1,404.04%1,475.45%

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