Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Samsonite International S.A. (1910.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.95 - $5.30$3.94
Multi-Stage$4.02 - $4.40$4.20
Blended Fair Value$4.07
Current Price$1.86
Upside118.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%6.49%0.110.000.000.000.000.090.080.070.070.06
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%13.64%13.40%4.30%5.68%10.00%
Dividend Yield--4.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.28%2.38%1.51%1.81%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)299.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)149.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.9037.4422.46
Cash Retained (M)149.50149.50149.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.90-37.44-22.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.60112.06127.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,414.901,414.901,414.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.71%2.71%3.71%
Fair Value$2.95$3.94$5.30
Upside / Downside58.84%111.76%185.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)299.50307.63315.98324.55333.36342.40352.68
Payout Ratio50.08%58.07%66.05%74.03%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.00178.63208.70240.28273.41308.16326.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.71%2.71%3.71%
Year 1 PV (M)164.48166.10167.72
Year 2 PV (M)176.95180.45183.98
Year 3 PV (M)187.59193.18198.87
Year 4 PV (M)196.55204.40212.47
Year 5 PV (M)203.99214.22224.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,752.514,990.775,238.49
Equity Value (M)5,682.075,949.106,226.38
Shares Outstanding (M)1,414.901,414.901,414.90
Fair Value$4.02$4.20$4.40
Upside / Downside115.91%126.05%136.59%

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