Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanjin Kal (180640.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88,724.50 - $155,888.74$117,284.78
Multi-Stage$83,705.12 - $91,637.88$87,598.22
Blended Fair Value$102,441.50
Current Price$118,200.00
Upside-13.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.69%17.47%353.63224.2535.6335.63227.90268.09111.8285.65158.31132.10
YoY Growth--57.70%529.32%0.00%-84.36%-14.99%139.75%30.56%-45.90%19.84%86.89%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.36%0.08%0.06%0.40%0.36%0.44%0.41%0.81%0.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)434,392.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24,080.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)410,312.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86,878.4854,299.0532,579.43
Cash Retained (M)410,312.23410,312.23410,312.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-86,878.48-54,299.05-32,579.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)323,433.75356,013.18377,732.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.8666.8666.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,837.685,324.975,649.84
LTM Dividend per Share360.17360.17360.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,837.685,324.975,649.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,197.855,685.156,010.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Fair Value$88,724.50$117,284.78$155,888.74
Upside / Downside-24.94%-0.77%31.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)434,392.40454,786.91476,138.94498,493.44521,897.47546,400.31562,792.32
Payout Ratio5.54%22.43%39.33%56.22%73.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24,080.17102,030.22187,246.63280,239.88381,552.37491,760.28520,582.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Year 1 PV (M)92,061.4392,949.2493,837.05
Year 2 PV (M)152,444.50155,398.92158,381.70
Year 3 PV (M)205,862.17211,875.59218,004.99
Year 4 PV (M)252,900.46262,798.04272,983.34
Year 5 PV (M)294,101.87308,559.14323,579.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,598,923.964,824,994.965,059,870.28
Equity Value (M)5,596,294.375,856,575.906,126,656.81
Shares Outstanding (M)66.8666.8666.86
Fair Value$83,705.12$87,598.22$91,637.88
Upside / Downside-29.18%-25.89%-22.47%

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