Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hana Materials Inc. (166090.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52,542.48 - $231,511.79$91,548.52
Multi-Stage$33,401.17 - $36,552.94$34,948.15
Blended Fair Value$63,248.33
Current Price$40,150.00
Upside57.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.06%0.00%199.84299.76599.46597.61198.99245.910.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---33.33%-50.00%0.31%200.32%-19.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.55%1.42%1.07%0.51%1.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,284.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,870.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,414.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,656.974,160.612,496.37
Cash Retained (M)28,414.8128,414.8128,414.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,656.97-4,160.61-2,496.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,757.8424,254.2125,918.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.5419.5419.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,113.721,241.501,326.68
LTM Dividend per Share249.28249.28249.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,113.721,241.501,326.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,363.001,490.781,575.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Fair Value$52,542.48$91,548.52$231,511.79
Upside / Downside30.87%128.02%476.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,284.8735,361.7337,568.1739,912.2942,402.6745,048.4446,399.90
Payout Ratio14.63%29.71%44.78%59.85%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,870.0610,504.2516,822.6023,888.5331,770.7540,543.6042,919.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Year 1 PV (M)9,637.329,728.909,820.47
Year 2 PV (M)14,160.3914,430.7814,703.72
Year 3 PV (M)18,448.5718,979.4819,520.49
Year 4 PV (M)22,510.8423,378.7224,271.45
Year 5 PV (M)26,355.8927,632.1028,957.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)561,420.56588,605.74616,833.96
Equity Value (M)652,533.56682,755.71714,107.36
Shares Outstanding (M)19.5419.5419.54
Fair Value$33,401.17$34,948.15$36,552.94
Upside / Downside-16.81%-12.96%-8.96%

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