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Definitive Analysis

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KANGWON ENERGY Co., Ltd. (114190.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$787.21 - $1,126.19$953.35
Multi-Stage$1,199.32 - $1,319.33$1,258.15
Blended Fair Value$1,105.75
Current Price$6,690.00
Upside-83.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,948.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,805.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)589.67368.55221.13
Cash Retained (M)2,805.092,805.092,805.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-589.67-368.55-221.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,215.422,436.542,583.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7325.7325.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.0994.68100.41
LTM Dividend per Share5.575.575.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.0994.68100.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend91.66100.25105.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$787.21$953.35$1,126.19
Upside / Downside-88.23%-85.75%-83.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,948.372,918.892,889.702,860.802,832.192,803.872,887.99
Payout Ratio4.86%21.89%38.92%55.94%72.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.28638.881,124.551,600.442,066.702,523.482,671.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)578.03583.93589.82
Year 2 PV (M)920.54939.42958.49
Year 3 PV (M)1,185.321,221.971,259.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,384.861,442.251,501.42
Year 5 PV (M)1,529.891,609.551,692.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,263.9626,579.5227,949.31
Equity Value (M)30,862.5932,376.6433,950.93
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7325.7325.73
Fair Value$1,199.32$1,258.15$1,319.33
Upside / Downside-82.07%-81.19%-80.28%

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