Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Banque Cantonale de Genève S.A. (0RMP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$329.97 - $1,193.10$1,045.92
Multi-Stage$148.55 - $162.67$155.48
Blended Fair Value$600.70
Current Price$23.80
Upside2,423.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS57.07%11.19%0.660.110.090.080.080.070.060.330.330.30
YoY Growth--490.91%22.22%20.00%0.00%10.29%17.24%-82.42%0.00%10.00%33.33%
Dividend Yield--2.57%0.50%0.50%0.47%0.47%0.35%0.31%2.05%2.08%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)427.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)376.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.5153.4532.07
Cash Retained (M)376.81376.81376.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.51-53.45-32.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.29323.36344.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.2771.2771.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.094.544.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.094.544.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.805.255.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$329.97$1,045.92$1,193.10
Upside / Downside1,286.41%4,294.63%4,913.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)427.57455.36484.96516.48550.05585.81603.38
Payout Ratio11.87%27.50%43.12%58.75%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.76125.21209.13303.43409.10527.22558.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)115.88116.98118.08
Year 2 PV (M)179.13182.54185.99
Year 3 PV (M)240.54247.45254.48
Year 4 PV (M)300.15311.70323.57
Year 5 PV (M)358.01375.30393.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,393.709,847.4210,318.50
Equity Value (M)10,587.4211,081.3911,593.87
Shares Outstanding (M)71.2771.2771.27
Fair Value$148.55$155.48$162.67
Upside / Downside524.17%553.29%583.51%

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