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Geberit AG (0QQ2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$417.68 - $698.15$541.06
Multi-Stage$856.44 - $940.80$897.81
Blended Fair Value$719.43
Current Price$624.00
Upside15.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.52%4.05%12.6312.7613.0412.1812.1611.7111.4611.099.319.35
YoY Growth---0.99%-2.17%7.07%0.12%3.86%2.15%3.37%19.11%-0.45%10.18%
Dividend Yield--2.45%2.37%2.99%1.63%2.19%2.16%3.06%2.58%2.28%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,184.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)343.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)236.82148.0188.81
Cash Retained (M)343.10343.10343.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-236.82-148.01-88.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.28195.09254.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
LTM Dividend per Share25.3225.3225.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.5231.1932.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$417.68$541.06$698.15
Upside / Downside-33.06%-13.29%11.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,184.101,190.271,196.471,202.711,208.981,215.281,251.74
Payout Ratio71.02%74.82%78.61%82.41%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)841.00890.55940.60991.151,042.201,093.751,157.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)829.32837.65845.98
Year 2 PV (M)815.69832.17848.81
Year 3 PV (M)800.42824.79849.65
Year 4 PV (M)783.77815.75848.70
Year 5 PV (M)765.98805.24846.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,454.0525,707.5727,011.99
Equity Value (M)28,449.2329,823.1731,251.23
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
Fair Value$856.44$897.81$940.80
Upside / Downside37.25%43.88%50.77%

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