Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Burckhardt Compression Holding AG (0QNN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,228.78 - $11,503.30$10,528.04
Multi-Stage$1,480.93 - $1,619.46$1,548.93
Blended Fair Value$6,038.48
Current Price$593.00
Upside918.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.87%4.45%15.5411.947.526.558.866.026.027.0610.0410.05
YoY Growth--30.08%58.82%14.80%-26.05%47.10%0.01%-14.66%-29.72%-0.13%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.62%2.07%1.32%1.34%2.81%3.13%2.15%2.32%3.70%3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)195.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.1124.4514.67
Cash Retained (M)102.70102.70102.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.11-24.45-14.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.5878.2588.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.383.383.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.8123.1426.04
LTM Dividend per Share27.4727.4727.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.8123.1426.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend46.2750.6153.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,228.78$10,528.04$11,503.30
Upside / Downside444.48%1,675.39%1,839.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)195.57208.29221.82236.24251.60267.95275.99
Payout Ratio47.49%55.99%64.49%73.00%81.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.87116.62143.06172.45205.05241.16255.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)107.96108.98110.00
Year 2 PV (M)122.59124.93127.28
Year 3 PV (M)136.79140.72144.72
Year 4 PV (M)150.57156.36162.31
Year 5 PV (M)163.93171.85180.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,325.434,534.354,751.27
Equity Value (M)5,007.275,237.185,475.66
Shares Outstanding (M)3.383.383.38
Fair Value$1,480.93$1,548.93$1,619.46
Upside / Downside149.73%161.20%173.10%

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