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Metall Zug AG (0QLX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$424.02 - $557.05$493.70
Multi-Stage$1,229.16 - $1,366.28$1,296.22
Blended Fair Value$894.96
Current Price$1,050.00
Upside-14.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.10%-10.41%20.0029.9329.8816.94161.6969.7370.7569.8265.2459.76
YoY Growth---33.18%0.16%76.46%-89.53%131.88%-1.44%1.34%7.01%9.17%-0.41%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.96%1.55%0.82%10.78%4.32%3.77%2.55%2.72%3.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.016.884.13
Cash Retained (M)37.0837.0837.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.01-6.88-4.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.0830.2032.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.450.450.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share57.9567.1273.24
LTM Dividend per Share39.8939.8939.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share57.9567.1273.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend97.84107.01113.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-13.01%-12.01%-11.01%
Fair Value$424.02$493.70$557.05
Upside / Downside-59.62%-52.98%-46.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.0348.4242.6137.4932.9929.0329.90
Payout Ratio32.62%44.09%55.57%67.05%78.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.9521.3523.6825.1425.9026.1227.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-13.01%-12.01%-11.01%
Year 1 PV (M)19.7219.9420.17
Year 2 PV (M)20.1920.6621.13
Year 3 PV (M)19.7920.4821.19
Year 4 PV (M)18.8319.7220.63
Year 5 PV (M)17.5418.5719.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)457.05483.93512.06
Equity Value (M)553.12583.30614.83
Shares Outstanding (M)0.450.450.45
Fair Value$1,229.16$1,296.22$1,366.28
Upside / Downside17.06%23.45%30.12%

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