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Definitive Analysis

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Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (0QLK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,613.29 - $8,771.34$7,067.71
Multi-Stage$10,571.37 - $11,634.68$11,092.64
Blended Fair Value$9,080.17
Current Price$4,120.00
Upside120.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.87%120.25115.24115.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.92%2.85%2.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.325.203.12
Cash Retained (M)33.3333.3333.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.32-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.0128.1330.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.070.070.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share348.05391.49420.44
LTM Dividend per Share115.24115.24115.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share348.05391.49420.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend463.29506.73535.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$5,613.29$7,067.71$8,771.34
Upside / Downside36.24%71.55%112.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.6141.5641.5141.4541.4041.3542.59
Payout Ratio19.90%33.92%47.94%61.96%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.2814.1019.9025.6831.4637.2139.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)13.0413.1713.30
Year 2 PV (M)17.0217.3717.72
Year 3 PV (M)20.3220.9521.58
Year 4 PV (M)23.0223.9724.94
Year 5 PV (M)25.1926.4927.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)660.97695.08730.58
Equity Value (M)759.56797.02835.96
Shares Outstanding (M)0.070.070.07
Fair Value$10,571.37$11,092.64$11,634.68
Upside / Downside156.59%169.24%182.40%

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