Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Ferrovial, S.A. (0P2N.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.70 - $78.17$62.75
Multi-Stage$107.06 - $118.02$112.43
Blended Fair Value$87.59
Current Price$28.88
Upside203.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.190.180.000.000.000.000.000.310.00
YoY Growth---4.41%3.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.65%0.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.08%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,669.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,403.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)733.80458.63275.18
Cash Retained (M)3,403.003,403.003,403.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-733.80-458.63-275.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,669.202,944.383,127.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)726.22726.22726.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.684.054.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.684.054.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.044.424.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-1.61%-0.61%0.39%
Fair Value$49.70$62.75$78.17
Upside / Downside72.08%117.28%170.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,669.003,646.443,624.033,601.753,579.603,557.603,664.32
Payout Ratio7.25%23.80%40.35%56.90%73.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266.00867.851,462.292,049.392,629.223,201.843,389.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-1.61%-0.61%0.39%
Year 1 PV (M)807.54815.75823.96
Year 2 PV (M)1,266.121,291.991,318.12
Year 3 PV (M)1,651.151,702.011,753.91
Year 4 PV (M)1,971.102,052.472,136.33
Year 5 PV (M)2,233.592,349.432,470.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,817.4973,438.5277,208.26
Equity Value (M)77,747.0081,650.1885,710.62
Shares Outstanding (M)726.22726.22726.22
Fair Value$107.06$112.43$118.02
Upside / Downside270.69%289.30%308.67%

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