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Definitive Analysis

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ATOSS Software AG (0N66.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.46 - $943.23$417.57
Multi-Stage$109.27 - $119.26$114.18
Blended Fair Value$265.87
Current Price$141.00
Upside88.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.93%25.06%1.691.420.910.840.640.350.290.290.240.22
YoY Growth--19.08%55.49%8.98%30.98%82.14%19.66%0.86%22.11%7.95%22.22%
Dividend Yield--1.48%1.38%1.31%0.77%0.81%0.98%1.52%1.57%1.81%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.099.435.66
Cash Retained (M)14.7614.7614.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.09-9.43-5.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.335.339.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.330.57
LTM Dividend per Share3.823.823.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.330.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.794.154.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$194.46$417.57$943.23
Upside / Downside37.92%196.15%568.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.4480.3485.5791.1397.05103.36106.46
Payout Ratio80.44%82.35%84.26%86.18%88.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.6866.1672.1078.5385.4993.0298.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.9461.5162.09
Year 2 PV (M)61.1662.3263.50
Year 3 PV (M)61.3563.1164.90
Year 4 PV (M)61.5163.8866.31
Year 5 PV (M)61.6464.6267.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,431.531,500.681,572.47
Equity Value (M)1,738.131,816.121,896.98
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
Fair Value$109.27$114.18$119.26
Upside / Downside-22.50%-19.02%-15.42%

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