Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Logistea AB (publ) (0N2H.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.51 - $21.92$18.00
Multi-Stage$28.41 - $31.31$29.83
Blended Fair Value$23.92
Current Price$15.36
Upside55.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.020.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-33.33%50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.06%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)821.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)774.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.20102.6361.58
Cash Retained (M)774.00774.00774.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.20-102.63-61.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)609.80671.38712.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)485.49485.49485.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.261.381.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.261.381.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.51$18.00$21.92
Upside / Downside-5.54%17.20%42.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)821.00812.79804.66796.62788.65780.76804.19
Payout Ratio5.72%22.58%39.43%56.29%73.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.00183.53317.32448.41576.86702.69743.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)169.57171.30173.03
Year 2 PV (M)270.89276.44282.06
Year 3 PV (M)353.69364.63375.79
Year 4 PV (M)420.40437.82455.78
Year 5 PV (M)473.16497.79523.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,105.3812,735.7313,392.08
Equity Value (M)13,793.0814,483.7215,202.19
Shares Outstanding (M)485.49485.49485.49
Fair Value$28.41$29.83$31.31
Upside / Downside84.97%94.23%103.86%

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