Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vaisala Oyj (0GEG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$291.89 - $343.96$322.31
Multi-Stage$226.13 - $248.35$237.03
Blended Fair Value$279.67
Current Price$49.60
Upside463.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.51%5.32%0.750.720.680.600.600.571.030.490.470.45
YoY Growth--4.21%6.10%11.82%0.00%5.77%-44.68%110.06%4.68%4.27%1.23%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.85%1.70%1.40%1.90%2.11%5.52%2.27%2.68%3.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)63.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.707.944.76
Cash Retained (M)32.6032.6032.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.70-7.94-4.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.9024.6627.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.3936.3936.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.680.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.680.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate4.54%5.54%6.54%
Fair Value$291.89$322.31$343.96
Upside / Downside488.49%549.82%593.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)63.5067.0270.7374.6578.7983.1585.64
Payout Ratio48.66%56.93%65.20%73.46%81.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.9038.1546.1154.8464.3974.8379.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate4.54%5.54%6.54%
Year 1 PV (M)38.1838.5438.91
Year 2 PV (M)46.1847.0747.96
Year 3 PV (M)54.9556.5558.17
Year 4 PV (M)64.5767.0869.66
Year 5 PV (M)75.0978.7582.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,949.388,336.938,739.45
Equity Value (M)8,228.358,624.929,036.70
Shares Outstanding (M)36.3936.3936.39
Fair Value$226.13$237.03$248.35
Upside / Downside355.91%377.88%400.70%

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