Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Barrick Gold Corporation (0ABX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.14 - $21.28$17.51
Multi-Stage$15.22 - $16.63$15.91
Blended Fair Value$16.71
Current Price$19.41
Upside-13.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.42%11.61%0.400.410.630.360.330.320.070.070.050.09
YoY Growth---2.36%-35.06%74.68%9.12%2.70%348.59%0.00%45.35%-46.25%-31.03%
Dividend Yield--2.07%2.42%3.41%1.48%1.67%1.76%0.54%0.57%0.26%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,764.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)688.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,076.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)552.80345.50207.30
Cash Retained (M)2,076.002,076.002,076.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-552.80-345.50-207.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,523.201,730.501,868.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,736.131,736.131,736.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.001.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.001.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.47
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$14.14$17.51$21.28
Upside / Downside-27.16%-9.77%9.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,764.002,858.432,956.103,057.093,161.543,269.563,367.65
Payout Ratio24.89%37.91%50.93%63.96%76.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)688.001,083.721,505.681,955.212,433.702,942.603,115.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)961.32970.71980.10
Year 2 PV (M)1,184.781,208.031,231.50
Year 3 PV (M)1,364.741,405.101,446.26
Year 4 PV (M)1,506.861,566.581,628.06
Year 5 PV (M)1,616.181,696.641,780.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,797.1020,782.6521,807.08
Equity Value (M)26,430.9827,629.7228,873.27
Shares Outstanding (M)1,736.131,736.131,736.13
Fair Value$15.22$15.91$16.63
Upside / Downside-21.57%-18.01%-14.32%

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