Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Medacta Group S.A. (0A05.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.19 - $104.45$85.12
Multi-Stage$144.48 - $159.21$151.70
Blended Fair Value$118.41
Current Price$143.57
Upside-17.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.560.550.520.000.000.003.273.150.000.00
YoY Growth--1.27%6.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.49%0.41%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.83%3.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2318.8911.34
Cash Retained (M)124.80124.80124.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.23-18.89-11.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.57105.91113.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.745.315.68
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.745.315.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.066.637.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$68.19$85.12$104.45
Upside / Downside-52.50%-40.71%-27.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.14149.63148.14146.65145.19143.74148.05
Payout Ratio17.43%31.94%46.46%60.97%75.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.3447.8068.8289.42109.60129.36136.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.3444.7945.25
Year 2 PV (M)59.2360.4461.67
Year 3 PV (M)71.3973.6075.85
Year 4 PV (M)81.1784.5488.00
Year 5 PV (M)88.8893.5198.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,538.742,670.942,808.59
Equity Value (M)2,883.753,027.823,177.69
Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
Fair Value$144.48$151.70$159.21
Upside / Downside0.64%5.66%10.89%

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