Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DIO Corporation (039840.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,074.78 - $4,466.84$3,749.52
Multi-Stage$5,170.01 - $5,681.75$5,420.91
Blended Fair Value$4,585.22
Current Price$17,450.00
Upside-73.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%72.060.000.0061.620.000.0077.630.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.00%0.00%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,084.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,643.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,440.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,216.82760.51456.31
Cash Retained (M)4,440.644,440.644,440.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,216.82-760.51-456.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,223.813,680.123,984.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share221.26252.58273.46
LTM Dividend per Share112.80112.80112.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share221.26252.58273.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend334.06365.37386.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,074.78$3,749.52$4,466.84
Upside / Downside-82.38%-78.51%-74.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,084.116,023.275,963.045,903.415,844.375,785.935,959.51
Payout Ratio27.01%39.61%52.21%64.81%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,643.482,385.823,113.163,825.714,523.695,207.345,512.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,173.762,195.942,218.12
Year 2 PV (M)2,584.322,637.332,690.88
Year 3 PV (M)2,893.542,983.033,074.34
Year 4 PV (M)3,117.343,246.543,379.71
Year 5 PV (M)3,269.483,439.733,617.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,289.9264,481.4367,804.53
Equity Value (M)75,328.3678,984.0082,784.58
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
Fair Value$5,170.01$5,420.91$5,681.75
Upside / Downside-70.37%-68.93%-67.44%

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