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Definitive Analysis

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STI Co., Ltd. (039440.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,700.48 - $20,330.21$16,865.74
Multi-Stage$24,839.26 - $27,351.46$26,070.68
Blended Fair Value$21,468.21
Current Price$22,750.00
Upside-5.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.93%0.00%198.68250.24202.48151.86253.65255.810.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---20.60%23.59%33.33%-40.13%-0.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.72%1.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,303.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,947.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)22,356.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,060.773,162.981,897.79
Cash Retained (M)22,356.4522,356.4522,356.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,060.77-3,162.98-1,897.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,295.6819,193.4720,458.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.8414.8414.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,165.871,293.801,379.08
LTM Dividend per Share198.68198.68198.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,165.871,293.801,379.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,364.551,492.481,577.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.76%7.76%7.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13,700.48$16,865.74$20,330.21
Upside / Downside-39.78%-25.86%-10.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,303.8625,050.8224,800.3124,552.3124,306.7924,063.7224,785.63
Payout Ratio11.65%27.32%42.99%58.66%74.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,947.416,843.5010,661.3714,402.1918,067.1421,657.3522,926.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.76%7.76%7.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,286.506,350.646,414.79
Year 2 PV (M)8,996.519,181.059,367.46
Year 3 PV (M)11,164.0211,509.2711,861.57
Year 4 PV (M)12,865.0613,398.2613,947.86
Year 5 PV (M)14,166.3614,904.0415,672.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)315,011.92331,415.32348,495.05
Equity Value (M)368,490.37386,758.58405,758.86
Shares Outstanding (M)14.8414.8414.84
Fair Value$24,839.26$26,070.68$27,351.46
Upside / Downside9.18%14.60%20.23%

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