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Definitive Analysis

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Kyobo Securities Co ., Ltd (030610.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36,316.91 - $208,731.61$68,000.67
Multi-Stage$44,390.41 - $48,797.46$46,551.93
Blended Fair Value$57,276.30
Current Price$9,150.00
Upside525.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.68%0.00%36.1528.93114.12190.57123.66108.1892.7352.2346.0930.73
YoY Growth--24.99%-74.65%-40.12%54.11%14.30%16.67%77.52%13.33%50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.57%2.25%2.49%1.57%1.83%0.97%0.53%0.49%0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121,581.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,159.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)113,422.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,316.3715,197.739,118.64
Cash Retained (M)113,422.44113,422.44113,422.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,316.37-15,197.73-9,118.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)89,106.0898,224.71104,303.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.88112.88112.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share789.36870.13923.99
LTM Dividend per Share72.2872.2872.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share789.36870.13923.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend861.64942.42996.27
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Fair Value$36,316.91$68,000.67$208,731.61
Upside / Downside296.91%643.18%2,181.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121,581.83126,149.39130,888.54135,805.73140,907.65146,201.23150,587.27
Payout Ratio6.71%23.37%40.03%56.68%73.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,159.3929,479.6352,390.2576,980.68103,344.77131,581.11139,293.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Year 1 PV (M)27,753.7728,023.8628,293.95
Year 2 PV (M)46,435.5447,343.7348,260.72
Year 3 PV (M)64,236.4866,130.1968,060.75
Year 4 PV (M)81,187.3984,394.1987,695.07
Year 5 PV (M)97,318.09102,146.52107,164.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,694,057.864,926,953.155,169,002.11
Equity Value (M)5,010,989.125,254,991.635,508,477.33
Shares Outstanding (M)112.88112.88112.88
Fair Value$44,390.41$46,551.93$48,797.46
Upside / Downside385.14%408.76%433.31%

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