Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dong-Ah Geological Engineering Company Ltd. (028100.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16,466.30 - $29,473.90$21,930.26
Multi-Stage$28,714.63 - $31,548.74$30,104.46
Blended Fair Value$26,017.36
Current Price$15,080.00
Upside72.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.56%13.11%519.37530.79371.5564.95173.19173.19173.19173.19151.54151.54
YoY Growth---2.15%42.86%472.09%-62.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.02%4.15%2.99%0.36%0.94%1.30%0.98%1.33%1.26%1.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,656.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,550.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,106.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,131.391,957.121,174.27
Cash Retained (M)9,106.339,106.339,106.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,131.39-1,957.12-1,174.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,974.947,149.217,932.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share457.88547.87607.86
LTM Dividend per Share502.00502.00502.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share457.88547.87607.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend959.881,049.871,109.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Fair Value$16,466.30$21,930.26$29,473.90
Upside / Downside9.19%45.43%95.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,656.9315,900.9116,148.6916,400.3316,655.9016,915.4417,422.91
Payout Ratio41.84%51.47%61.10%70.74%80.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,550.608,184.319,867.3411,600.8313,385.9615,223.9016,116.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Year 1 PV (M)7,614.837,690.567,766.29
Year 2 PV (M)8,541.958,712.688,885.11
Year 3 PV (M)9,343.829,625.369,912.50
Year 4 PV (M)10,031.4410,436.4610,853.62
Year 5 PV (M)10,614.9511,153.3611,713.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)328,551.73345,216.28362,550.26
Equity Value (M)374,698.73392,834.70411,681.17
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
Fair Value$28,714.63$30,104.46$31,548.74
Upside / Downside90.42%99.63%109.21%

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