Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Namhae Chemical Corporation (025860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88,500.57 - $104,324.18$97,741.27
Multi-Stage$151,281.23 - $166,533.07$158,760.40
Blended Fair Value$128,250.83
Current Price$7,830.00
Upside1,537.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%4.57%60.23100.3860.2380.3060.2350.1980.3045.1760.2348.58
YoY Growth---40.00%66.67%-25.00%33.33%20.00%-37.50%77.78%-25.00%23.98%26.04%
Dividend Yield--0.97%1.37%0.67%0.73%0.67%0.72%0.70%0.32%0.67%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,761.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,835.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,925.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,152.263,220.171,932.10
Cash Retained (M)21,925.4321,925.4321,925.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,152.26-3,220.17-1,932.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,773.1618,705.2619,993.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
LTM Dividend per Share80.3080.3080.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend431.44471.88498.85
WACC / Discount Rate-16.97%-16.97%-16.97%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Fair Value$88,500.57$97,741.27$104,324.18
Upside / Downside1,030.28%1,148.29%1,232.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,761.3226,679.7427,630.8928,615.9529,636.1430,692.6931,613.47
Payout Ratio14.89%29.91%44.93%59.96%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,835.907,980.4712,415.6917,157.0022,220.5927,623.4229,242.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-16.97%-16.97%-16.97%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Year 1 PV (M)9,518.509,611.319,704.11
Year 2 PV (M)17,662.4618,008.5518,358.00
Year 3 PV (M)29,111.3129,971.1430,847.73
Year 4 PV (M)44,969.3246,748.9248,580.83
Year 5 PV (M)66,677.3569,991.8473,436.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,058,538.317,409,414.407,774,107.29
Equity Value (M)7,226,477.257,583,746.177,955,034.83
Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
Fair Value$151,281.23$158,760.40$166,533.07
Upside / Downside1,832.07%1,927.59%2,026.86%

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