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Definitive Analysis

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AUK Corp. (017900.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$582.79 - $853.14$713.12
Multi-Stage$1,206.67 - $1,325.73$1,265.04
Blended Fair Value$989.08
Current Price$2,010.00
Upside-50.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.78%0.00%49.5549.5549.550.0050.5451.5251.520.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-1.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.91%2.17%2.17%0.00%2.13%3.49%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,927.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,518.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,409.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)785.52490.95294.57
Cash Retained (M)1,409.441,409.441,409.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-785.52-490.95-294.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)623.91918.481,114.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.8250.8250.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.2818.0721.94
LTM Dividend per Share49.5549.5549.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.2818.0721.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend61.8367.6371.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.78%-1.78%-0.78%
Fair Value$582.79$713.12$853.14
Upside / Downside-71.01%-64.52%-57.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,927.623,857.883,789.373,722.073,655.983,591.053,698.78
Payout Ratio64.11%69.29%74.47%79.65%84.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,518.192,673.192,821.902,964.483,101.113,231.953,421.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.78%-1.78%-0.78%
Year 1 PV (M)2,460.492,485.792,511.10
Year 2 PV (M)2,390.692,440.122,490.06
Year 3 PV (M)2,311.642,383.712,457.26
Year 4 PV (M)2,225.772,318.762,414.64
Year 5 PV (M)2,135.102,247.182,363.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,798.2552,412.4855,135.37
Equity Value (M)61,321.9464,288.0567,372.35
Shares Outstanding (M)50.8250.8250.82
Fair Value$1,206.67$1,265.04$1,325.73
Upside / Downside-39.97%-37.06%-34.04%

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