Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwon Systems Corporation (014820.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67,855.22 - $392,177.25$126,533.96
Multi-Stage$57,895.67 - $63,441.85$60,617.07
Blended Fair Value$93,575.51
Current Price$27,000.00
Upside246.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.11%0.00%619.49601.16600.34527.16439.64439.38439.38208.70208.80208.45
YoY Growth--3.05%0.14%13.88%19.91%0.06%0.00%110.53%-0.05%0.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.41%1.40%0.90%0.91%2.27%1.27%0.45%0.34%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,593.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26,797.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,795.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,718.657,324.164,394.49
Cash Retained (M)31,795.9431,795.9431,795.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,718.65-7,324.16-4,394.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,077.2924,471.7827,401.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share686.14836.33936.45
LTM Dividend per Share915.80915.80915.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share686.14836.33936.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,601.951,752.131,852.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Fair Value$67,855.22$126,533.96$392,177.25
Upside / Downside151.32%368.64%1,352.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,593.2461,443.7964,433.0267,567.6770,854.8374,301.9076,530.96
Payout Ratio45.73%54.59%63.44%72.29%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26,797.3133,540.6740,876.7448,847.2357,496.4966,871.7170,791.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Year 1 PV (M)31,246.9431,547.7831,848.62
Year 2 PV (M)35,477.0736,163.5036,856.50
Year 3 PV (M)39,495.4540,647.2441,821.21
Year 4 PV (M)43,309.6045,001.7646,743.03
Year 5 PV (M)46,926.8149,229.7551,622.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,497,629.341,571,126.021,647,480.29
Equity Value (M)1,694,085.201,773,716.061,856,371.91
Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
Fair Value$57,895.67$60,617.07$63,441.85
Upside / Downside114.43%124.51%134.97%

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