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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Movenex Co., Ltd. (010100.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24,518.51 - $63,833.22$37,277.90
Multi-Stage$27,400.11 - $30,082.94$28,716.16
Blended Fair Value$32,997.03
Current Price$4,275.00
Upside671.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%2.13%99.8969.9252.0649.9449.940.000.0049.940.0063.72
YoY Growth--42.86%34.31%4.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-21.22%
Dividend Yield--2.37%1.31%1.92%1.72%1.64%0.00%0.00%2.25%0.00%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,187.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,045.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,142.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,637.564,148.472,489.08
Cash Retained (M)30,142.7530,142.7530,142.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,637.56-4,148.47-2,489.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)23,505.1925,994.2727,653.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share771.07852.72907.15
LTM Dividend per Share99.8999.8999.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share771.07852.72907.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend870.96952.611,007.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.88%3.88%4.88%
Fair Value$24,518.51$37,277.90$63,833.22
Upside / Downside473.53%772.00%1,393.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,187.7934,476.4735,815.1937,205.8938,650.5940,151.3941,355.93
Payout Ratio9.18%25.34%41.51%57.67%73.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,045.048,736.3914,865.1321,456.6628,537.6836,136.2538,254.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.88%3.88%4.88%
Year 1 PV (M)8,121.358,200.288,279.22
Year 2 PV (M)12,845.7913,096.7213,350.08
Year 3 PV (M)17,236.5517,744.0618,261.43
Year 4 PV (M)21,310.9522,151.6623,017.00
Year 5 PV (M)25,085.5326,328.5927,620.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)750,664.64787,862.22826,520.01
Equity Value (M)835,264.81875,383.54917,048.19
Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
Fair Value$27,400.11$28,716.16$30,082.94
Upside / Downside540.94%571.72%603.69%

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