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Definitive Analysis

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Taekyung Chemical Co., Ltd. (006890.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,866.83 - $19,347.20$13,611.78
Multi-Stage$15,453.22 - $16,978.21$16,201.13
Blended Fair Value$14,906.45
Current Price$9,130.00
Upside63.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.57%2.68%199.72199.72219.70199.72151.13152.30153.31153.31153.31153.31
YoY Growth--0.00%-9.09%10.00%32.15%-0.76%-0.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.75%1.46%1.54%1.35%1.10%3.28%2.45%3.25%3.04%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,931.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,040.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,891.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,386.28866.43519.86
Cash Retained (M)4,891.304,891.304,891.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,386.28-866.43-519.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,505.024,024.884,371.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share308.82354.63385.16
LTM Dividend per Share179.75179.75179.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share308.82354.63385.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend488.57534.38564.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Fair Value$9,866.83$13,611.78$19,347.20
Upside / Downside8.07%49.09%111.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,931.407,091.427,255.137,422.627,593.987,769.298,002.37
Payout Ratio29.43%41.55%53.66%65.77%77.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,040.102,946.213,893.084,882.095,914.696,992.367,402.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Year 1 PV (M)2,743.872,770.952,798.03
Year 2 PV (M)3,376.683,443.673,511.32
Year 3 PV (M)3,943.684,061.614,181.88
Year 4 PV (M)4,449.654,627.964,811.57
Year 5 PV (M)4,899.105,145.725,402.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)155,975.11163,826.61171,991.16
Equity Value (M)175,388.09183,876.52192,696.12
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
Fair Value$15,453.22$16,201.13$16,978.21
Upside / Downside69.26%77.45%85.96%

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