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NH Investment & Securities Co., Ltd. (005940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129,748.49 - $418,994.90$392,659.58
Multi-Stage$55,896.28 - $61,139.80$58,470.05
Blended Fair Value$225,564.82
Current Price$19,990.00
Upside1,028.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.12%37.20%806.22710.53959.34608.86435.68435.30435.30348.78348.78141.14
YoY Growth--13.47%-25.93%57.56%39.75%0.09%0.00%24.80%0.00%147.11%313.82%
Dividend Yield--5.75%6.30%10.90%5.34%3.74%4.84%3.19%2.46%2.78%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)728,950.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)328,342.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)400,608.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)145,790.0091,118.7554,671.25
Cash Retained (M)400,608.00400,608.00400,608.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-145,790.00-91,118.75-54,671.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)254,818.00309,489.25345,936.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)345.99345.99345.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share736.48894.49999.83
LTM Dividend per Share948.98948.98948.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share736.48894.49999.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,685.461,843.471,948.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$129,748.49$392,659.58$418,994.90
Upside / Downside549.07%1,864.28%1,996.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)728,950.00776,331.75826,793.31880,534.88937,769.65998,724.671,028,686.41
Payout Ratio45.04%54.03%63.03%72.02%81.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)328,342.00419,487.10521,093.82634,137.07759,674.33898,852.21951,534.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)388,833.57392,519.20396,204.82
Year 2 PV (M)447,719.70456,247.50464,855.76
Year 3 PV (M)505,031.62519,529.27534,301.74
Year 4 PV (M)560,800.03582,366.81604,549.75
Year 5 PV (M)615,055.07644,762.46675,606.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,822,364.9017,634,891.4118,478,515.23
Equity Value (M)19,339,804.9020,230,316.6621,154,034.12
Shares Outstanding (M)345.99345.99345.99
Fair Value$55,896.28$58,470.05$61,139.80
Upside / Downside179.62%192.50%205.85%

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