Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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SsangYong C&E Co., Ltd. (003410.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,331.02 - $24,650.44$15,273.81
Multi-Stage$13,811.64 - $15,131.64$14,459.25
Blended Fair Value$14,866.53
Current Price$7,000.00
Upside112.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-2.41%72.07%324.47447.91447.91450.00426.38366.62189.821.281.431.43
YoY Growth---27.56%0.00%-0.46%5.54%16.30%93.15%14,683.76%-9.90%-0.07%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.64%7.26%5.44%5.86%9.45%5.76%0.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246,061.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208,119.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,942.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49,212.3930,757.7418,454.65
Cash Retained (M)37,942.4037,942.4037,942.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-49,212.39-30,757.74-18,454.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-11,269.997,184.6519,487.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.41493.41493.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-22.8414.5639.50
LTM Dividend per Share421.80421.80421.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-22.8414.5639.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend398.96436.36461.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.36%3.36%4.36%
Fair Value$10,331.02$15,273.81$24,650.44
Upside / Downside47.59%118.20%252.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246,061.95254,336.81262,889.95271,730.72280,868.80290,314.19299,023.62
Payout Ratio84.58%85.66%86.75%87.83%88.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208,119.55217,875.38228,052.00238,666.68249,737.39261,282.77276,596.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.36%3.36%4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)202,949.42204,932.07206,914.71
Year 2 PV (M)197,876.04201,761.09205,683.91
Year 3 PV (M)192,899.35198,608.16204,428.50
Year 4 PV (M)188,019.20195,474.72203,149.81
Year 5 PV (M)183,235.27192,362.13201,849.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,849,833.486,141,211.046,444,085.34
Equity Value (M)6,814,812.757,134,349.207,466,111.38
Shares Outstanding (M)493.41493.41493.41
Fair Value$13,811.64$14,459.25$15,131.64
Upside / Downside97.31%106.56%116.17%

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