Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Bichamp Cutting Technology (Hunan) Co., Ltd. (002843.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.59 - $15.27$7.49
Multi-Stage$3.04 - $3.32$3.18
Blended Fair Value$5.33
Current Price$23.60
Upside-77.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.99%5.85%0.210.050.130.080.250.560.080.080.080.12
YoY Growth--350.92%-63.44%57.88%-68.33%-55.00%566.67%0.00%0.00%-28.57%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%0.24%0.73%0.86%3.21%6.49%0.72%0.67%0.34%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.465.293.17
Cash Retained (M)22.6022.6022.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.46-5.29-3.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1417.3119.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.94250.94250.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.59$7.49$15.27
Upside / Downside-80.54%-68.27%-35.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.2945.0447.9751.0954.4157.9459.68
Payout Ratio46.56%55.25%63.94%72.62%81.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.6924.8830.6737.1044.2452.1555.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22.7022.9123.13
Year 2 PV (M)25.5226.0126.50
Year 3 PV (M)28.1628.9729.79
Year 4 PV (M)30.6331.8133.02
Year 5 PV (M)32.9434.5336.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)622.91653.00684.24
Equity Value (M)762.86797.23832.86
Shares Outstanding (M)250.94250.94250.94
Fair Value$3.04$3.18$3.32
Upside / Downside-87.12%-86.54%-85.94%

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