Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gettop Acoustic Co., Ltd. (002655.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.63 - $46.07$43.18
Multi-Stage$7.04 - $7.71$7.37
Blended Fair Value$25.27
Current Price$13.69
Upside84.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.75%8.74%0.070.060.020.030.040.050.060.060.050.04
YoY Growth--11.97%263.52%-48.18%-21.60%-3.70%-22.87%-1.71%19.67%24.62%28.42%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.57%0.13%0.30%0.66%0.49%0.60%0.54%0.36%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7210.456.27
Cash Retained (M)58.5658.5658.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.72-10.45-6.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.8448.1152.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)360.89360.89360.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.63$43.18$46.07
Upside / Downside65.30%215.40%236.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.6189.0494.83100.99107.56114.55117.99
Payout Ratio29.95%41.96%53.97%65.98%77.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0437.3651.1866.6483.89103.10109.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.8035.1335.46
Year 2 PV (M)44.3945.2446.09
Year 3 PV (M)53.8355.3856.95
Year 4 PV (M)63.1165.5468.04
Year 5 PV (M)72.2475.7379.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,273.272,383.072,497.07
Equity Value (M)2,541.652,660.092,782.97
Shares Outstanding (M)360.89360.89360.89
Fair Value$7.04$7.37$7.71
Upside / Downside-48.56%-46.16%-43.67%

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