Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Beingmate Co., Ltd. (002570.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.61 - $0.83$0.72
Multi-Stage$1.53 - $1.69$1.61
Blended Fair Value$1.17
Current Price$6.17
Upside-81.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.50%-21.49%0.030.040.050.060.060.050.060.060.040.01
YoY Growth---12.53%-21.58%-16.03%-6.59%25.89%-12.22%-8.67%55.14%576.80%-98.44%
Dividend Yield--0.71%1.17%1.05%1.17%1.21%0.91%0.83%1.17%0.31%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)109.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.4917.1810.31
Cash Retained (M)109.84109.84109.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.49-17.18-10.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.3592.6699.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,092.701,092.701,092.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-7.81%-6.81%-5.81%
Fair Value$0.61$0.72$0.83
Upside / Downside-90.08%-88.25%-86.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137.45128.08119.35111.22103.6496.5899.47
Payout Ratio20.08%34.07%48.05%62.03%76.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.6143.6357.3568.9978.7886.9292.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-7.81%-6.81%-5.81%
Year 1 PV (M)40.2240.6541.09
Year 2 PV (M)48.7249.7850.85
Year 3 PV (M)54.0255.8057.61
Year 4 PV (M)56.8559.3661.95
Year 5 PV (M)57.8161.0164.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,412.091,490.361,572.07
Equity Value (M)1,669.711,756.961,847.93
Shares Outstanding (M)1,092.701,092.701,092.70
Fair Value$1.53$1.61$1.69
Upside / Downside-75.23%-73.94%-72.59%

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