Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Kingnet Network Co., Ltd. (002517.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.28 - $37.34$24.69
Multi-Stage$12.42 - $13.57$12.99
Blended Fair Value$18.84
Current Price$28.08
Upside-32.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS150.22%83.51%0.200.130.000.000.000.000.130.070.000.00
YoY Growth--54.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.47%88.34%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.07%2.73%0.61%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,931.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)213.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,718.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)386.38241.49144.89
Cash Retained (M)1,718.251,718.251,718.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-386.38-241.49-144.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,331.871,476.761,573.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,145.212,145.212,145.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.28$24.69$37.34
Upside / Downside-38.46%-12.06%32.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,931.892,057.462,191.202,333.632,485.312,646.862,726.26
Payout Ratio11.06%26.85%42.64%58.42%74.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)213.64552.37934.221,363.391,844.392,382.172,521.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)497.90502.62507.34
Year 2 PV (M)759.05773.51788.11
Year 3 PV (M)998.511,027.171,056.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,217.581,264.411,312.57
Year 5 PV (M)1,417.521,485.981,557.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,752.5122,803.1623,894.03
Equity Value (M)26,643.0727,856.8629,115.49
Shares Outstanding (M)2,145.212,145.212,145.21
Fair Value$12.42$12.99$13.57
Upside / Downside-55.77%-53.76%-51.67%

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