Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre Co., Ltd. (002427.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.10 - $0.13$0.11
Multi-Stage$0.29 - $0.32$0.30
Blended Fair Value$0.21
Current Price$6.71
Upside-96.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-42.08%-10.93%0.020.020.020.030.210.330.250.390.100.05
YoY Growth--12.97%-19.47%-19.15%-86.42%-34.73%29.10%-34.76%281.26%94.35%-22.78%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.47%0.35%0.47%4.37%5.72%1.96%2.61%0.56%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.453.402.04
Cash Retained (M)6.916.916.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.45-3.40-2.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.463.504.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)969.00969.00969.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-12.93%-11.93%-10.93%
Fair Value$0.10$0.11$0.13
Upside / Downside-98.56%-98.32%-98.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.2323.9821.1218.6016.3814.4314.86
Payout Ratio74.63%77.70%80.78%83.85%86.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.3218.6317.0615.6014.2412.9813.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-12.93%-11.93%-10.93%
Year 1 PV (M)17.1817.3717.57
Year 2 PV (M)14.4914.8315.17
Year 3 PV (M)12.2112.6413.07
Year 4 PV (M)10.2810.7611.25
Year 5 PV (M)8.649.159.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)214.57227.18240.37
Equity Value (M)277.37291.92307.12
Shares Outstanding (M)969.00969.00969.00
Fair Value$0.29$0.30$0.32
Upside / Downside-95.73%-95.51%-95.28%

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