Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Taiji Computer Corporation Limited (002368.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.92 - $8.74$6.53
Multi-Stage$5.97 - $6.55$6.25
Blended Fair Value$6.39
Current Price$27.66
Upside-76.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.16%11.69%0.290.260.280.310.240.230.210.210.150.13
YoY Growth--10.49%-8.24%-10.08%30.30%3.22%8.58%1.17%45.72%14.46%34.44%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.02%0.67%1.47%1.13%0.89%0.75%1.06%0.67%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)170.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.6827.9316.76
Cash Retained (M)170.80170.80170.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.68-27.93-16.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)126.11142.87154.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)623.13623.13623.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate2.16%3.16%4.16%
Fair Value$4.92$6.53$8.74
Upside / Downside-82.21%-76.38%-68.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223.41230.47237.75245.27253.02261.02268.85
Payout Ratio23.55%36.84%50.13%63.42%76.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.6184.90119.19155.55194.09234.91248.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate2.16%3.16%4.16%
Year 1 PV (M)77.7778.5379.29
Year 2 PV (M)100.00101.97103.95
Year 3 PV (M)119.54123.09126.70
Year 4 PV (M)136.63142.06147.65
Year 5 PV (M)151.47159.03166.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,134.853,291.313,453.95
Equity Value (M)3,720.253,895.984,078.43
Shares Outstanding (M)623.13623.13623.13
Fair Value$5.97$6.25$6.55
Upside / Downside-78.42%-77.40%-76.34%

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