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Zhejiang Hailide New Material Co.,Ltd (002206.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.02 - $31.23$17.19
Multi-Stage$12.52 - $13.73$13.12
Blended Fair Value$15.15
Current Price$6.10
Upside148.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.77%4.90%0.190.200.150.240.140.240.220.230.190.13
YoY Growth---5.02%27.16%-36.75%71.80%-40.30%6.51%-2.85%21.86%43.96%13.41%
Dividend Yield--3.65%4.39%2.58%4.02%2.41%6.87%4.57%4.51%2.34%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)529.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)229.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)299.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.8166.1339.68
Cash Retained (M)299.96299.96299.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.81-66.13-39.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)194.15233.83260.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,154.421,154.421,154.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Fair Value$11.02$17.19$31.23
Upside / Downside80.67%181.84%412.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)529.06549.86571.47593.93617.27641.53660.78
Payout Ratio43.30%52.64%61.98%71.32%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)229.10289.46354.21423.60497.89577.38611.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Year 1 PV (M)269.55272.17274.78
Year 2 PV (M)307.15313.15319.20
Year 3 PV (M)342.05352.12362.38
Year 4 PV (M)374.39389.15404.34
Year 5 PV (M)404.28424.31445.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,758.6413,390.5714,047.30
Equity Value (M)14,456.0615,141.4615,853.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1,154.421,154.421,154.42
Fair Value$12.52$13.12$13.73
Upside / Downside105.28%115.02%125.12%

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