Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (002106.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.70 - $83.87$31.02
Multi-Stage$8.82 - $9.65$9.23
Blended Fair Value$20.13
Current Price$12.11
Upside66.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.83%9.60%0.250.200.100.150.100.100.100.100.000.02
YoY Growth--25.00%100.00%-33.33%50.00%-1.16%1.17%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-80.15%
Dividend Yield--2.27%2.05%1.13%1.68%0.94%1.16%1.07%1.22%0.00%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.5337.2022.32
Cash Retained (M)227.05227.05227.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.53-37.20-22.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.52189.85204.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)705.79705.79705.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.70$31.02$83.87
Upside / Downside29.66%156.18%592.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.63316.98337.58359.53382.89407.78420.02
Payout Ratio23.71%36.97%50.23%63.49%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.58117.19169.56228.25293.84367.00388.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)107.72108.75109.77
Year 2 PV (M)143.27146.00148.76
Year 3 PV (M)177.28182.37187.55
Year 4 PV (M)209.79217.86226.16
Year 5 PV (M)240.86252.49264.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,349.085,607.455,875.70
Equity Value (M)6,228.016,514.926,812.51
Shares Outstanding (M)705.79705.79705.79
Fair Value$8.82$9.23$9.65
Upside / Downside-27.13%-23.78%-20.29%

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