Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sunvim Group Co.,Ltd (002083.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.38 - $5.42$4.30
Multi-Stage$7.44 - $8.18$7.80
Blended Fair Value$6.05
Current Price$4.87
Upside24.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.74%-0.63%0.270.050.280.100.260.260.450.440.310.29
YoY Growth--482.53%-83.34%181.77%-61.94%-0.27%-42.01%2.01%40.76%6.28%2.26%
Dividend Yield--5.45%1.03%5.99%2.23%6.23%3.51%7.07%7.84%4.49%4.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)307.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)196.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)111.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.4638.4123.05
Cash Retained (M)111.17111.17111.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.46-38.41-23.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.7172.7688.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)945.92945.92945.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.26%-0.26%0.74%
Fair Value$3.38$4.30$5.42
Upside / Downside-30.57%-11.65%11.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)307.30306.52305.74304.96304.18303.40312.50
Payout Ratio63.82%69.06%74.29%79.53%84.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)196.13211.68227.14242.53257.83273.06289.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.26%-0.26%0.74%
Year 1 PV (M)197.07199.07201.06
Year 2 PV (M)196.88200.89204.94
Year 3 PV (M)195.71201.72207.85
Year 4 PV (M)193.71201.67209.88
Year 5 PV (M)190.99200.86211.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,063.456,376.766,702.89
Equity Value (M)7,037.817,380.967,737.75
Shares Outstanding (M)945.92945.92945.92
Fair Value$7.44$7.80$8.18
Upside / Downside52.78%60.22%67.97%

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