Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Infore Environment Technology Group Co., Ltd. (000967.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.47 - $2.45$1.90
Multi-Stage$1.73 - $1.90$1.81
Blended Fair Value$1.86
Current Price$7.19
Upside-74.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.18%25.82%0.170.150.140.160.160.140.200.030.020.02
YoY Growth--12.01%5.40%-10.41%0.41%15.56%-32.47%521.12%42.96%35.60%-0.37%
Dividend Yield--2.73%2.92%2.67%3.08%1.88%2.35%2.82%0.41%0.22%0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)381.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)273.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.2447.6528.59
Cash Retained (M)273.97273.97273.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.24-47.65-28.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)197.73226.32245.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,113.873,113.873,113.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Fair Value$1.47$1.90$2.45
Upside / Downside-79.55%-73.52%-65.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)381.20393.34405.86418.78432.11445.87459.24
Payout Ratio28.13%40.50%52.88%65.25%77.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.24159.32214.61273.26335.43401.28424.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Year 1 PV (M)144.76146.18147.60
Year 2 PV (M)177.19180.67184.19
Year 3 PV (M)204.99211.07217.27
Year 4 PV (M)228.64237.72247.07
Year 5 PV (M)248.53260.93273.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,392.754,611.944,839.80
Equity Value (M)5,396.865,648.525,909.75
Shares Outstanding (M)3,113.873,113.873,113.87
Fair Value$1.73$1.81$1.90
Upside / Downside-75.89%-74.77%-73.60%

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